Archive for 'Studies'


BP – Can Pitchers Control Their Consistency?

My article at Baseball Prospectus today examines whether a pitcher’s start-to-start consistency is something they can control or merely random. Yovanni Gallardo was extremely inconsistent this year, with six starts of 5+ ER and five starts of 0 ER. Should we expect similar inconsistency next year? And is consistency actually a good thing?

BP – Losing Speed

My latest article at BP runs a study suggested by my CardRunners leaguemate and friend Chris Hill and looks at whether a decline in stolen base success rate means a decline in other skills is forthcoming and examines how likely a bounceback in SB% is. It also looks at whether a hitter who starts getting [...]

FD – Context Adjustments: Catchers and Stolen Bases (Part 3)

Part three of my series on catcher throwing at FanDuel examines whether runners attempt fewer steals against catchers with strong arms. I also determine which catcher’s combine these two skills to be the best (and worst) overall at preventing stolen bases.

CR – Catching Up

Finishing up with the catching up, here are the two articles I’ve written at CardRunners Fantasy since my last post: How Well Can We Predict Saves? – The final article in my four-part series on closers, throwing all of the variables together to see how well we can predict which closers will keep their jobs [...]

FD – Catching Up

Since I haven’t posted in a while, here are the articles you may have missed at FanDuel: