Archive for 'Projections'


CR – Catching Up

Finishing up with the catching up, here are the two articles I’ve written at CardRunners Fantasy since my last post: How Well Can We Predict Saves? – The final article in my four-part series on closers, throwing all of the variables together to see how well we can predict which closers will keep their jobs [...]

BP – When Hitters’ Stats Stabilize

I’m excited about my article at Baseball Prospectus today which updates the old Pizza Cutter study that looks at the point when stats stabilize for hitters using new data and an improved methodology.

New FanDuel Article – Umpire Projection Results

My newest FanDuel article is up today discussing umpire context adjustments. Last week, I discussed my system for projecting umpire stats. This week, we get into the interesting stuff of looking at how large the effects are, which umpires are the most (and least) favorable, and how to apply this to your fantasy teams.  Some [...]

New FanDuel Article – The Effect of Umpires

My FanDuel article this week discusses my system for projecting umpires.  Umpires are an afterthought at best for most fantasy owners, but they have a very real impact on the game and can have a significant effect on batter and pitcher stats.